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研究生: 林家緯
Jia-Wei Lin
論文名稱: 台灣期貨交易市場配對交易實證分析- 論指數成份對獲利能力之影響
Empirical Analysis of Pairing Trading in the Taiwan Futures Trading Market-The Impact of Index Components on Profitability
指導教授: 吳庭斌
Tin-Pin Wu
口試委員:
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 財務金融學系
Department of Finance
論文出版年: 2020
畢業學年度: 108
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 46
中文關鍵詞: 配對交易指數期貨布林通道
外文關鍵詞: Pairs Trading, Stock Index Futures, Bollinger Band
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  • 傳統配對交易大都使用股票去做兩兩配對,本文利用台灣期貨交易所之指數期貨進行配對交易,共以台灣指數期貨、電子指數期貨、金融指數期貨、非金電指數期貨等四種指數期貨實證分析,計算其價格偏離程度進場做配對交易是否有利可圖,與驗證去除指數期貨成份結構的不同後是否會更具有獲利能力。
    由於指數期貨組成的不同,在單獨判斷兩相關性商品價格偏離時會有判斷錯誤的狀況,因此本文發現去除指數期貨成份結構的不同之後配對交易的獲利能力及其穩定性會上升,同時判斷配對價格的偏離會更加準確。


    Most of the traditional pair trading use stocks for pairwise matching. This article uses Taiwan index futures for pair trading. A total of four index futures, including Taiwan Capitalization Weighted Stock Index, Finance Index futures, Electronics Index futures, and Non-Finance & Electronic index futures, are used for empirical analysis. Whether it is profitable via buying lower price futures and sell short higher price futures when these two-futures price deviations, and to verify whether it is more profitable after removing the difference in the structure of the index futures.
    Due to the difference in the composition of index futures, there will be a judgment error when judging the deviation of the price of two related commodities separately. Therefore, this paper finds that the profitability and stability of paired trading will increase after removing the difference in the structure of index futures components. Pairs price deviations will be more precisely.

    摘要 i ABSTRACT ii 誌謝 iii 圖目錄 vi 表目錄 viii 第一章 緒論 1 1-1 研究背景 1 1-2 研究動機與文獻回顧 1 第二章 台灣指數期貨配對交易策略 3 2-1 商品介紹 3 2-2 樣本資料 4 2-3 資料分析與研究方法 4 2-4 建立交易指標 5 2-5 參數設定 6 2-6 交易指標 6 2-7 對沖口數設定 7 第三章 各組配對實證結果 8 第四章 去除指數結構影響之交易策略 9 4-1 成份分析 9 4-2 重組台指期貨 10 4-3 交易設定 11 4-4 交易績效 12 第五章 交易實務分析 13 5-1 交易設定 13 5-2 交易績效 14 5-3 交易成本設定 14 5-4 複利績效 14 第六章 穩健性分析 15 6-1 非金電期貨穩健性 15 6-2 參數穩健性 15 6-3 成本穩健性 16 第七章 結論 17 參考文獻 34

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