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研究生: 黃俐菁
Li-ching Huang
論文名稱: 家庭因素對個人預期退休年齡之影響
Household Factors on Personal Expectancy of Retirement Age
指導教授: 單驥
Gee San
口試委員:
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 產業經濟研究所
Graduate Institute of Industrial Economics
畢業學年度: 95
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 125
中文關鍵詞: 預期退休年齡家庭因素家庭結構
外文關鍵詞: expectancy of retirement age, household factors, household structure
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  • 目前國內文獻對個人預期退休年齡的研究多由個人經濟面因素探討相關之議題,而近年來國外已經開始延伸探討家庭社會面因素對個人預期退休行為之影響,學者更提出研究家庭因素與個人預期退休行為之關係將成為未來十年退休研究之主流議題。本文以行政院主計處民國八十六年十月份「人力資源調查附帶工作經驗調查資料」依戶號整理為各家戶資料後作為研究對象,首先探討家戶內各家庭成員之因素是否對個人預期退休年齡有所影響;並將家戶資料依各種家庭結構予以分類做分群討論,觀察家庭因素在不同家庭型式下對個人預期退休年齡的影響程度是否存在差異;再者,若家戶內的個人具有配偶,個人與其配偶預期退休年齡的決定是否有正向互動的關係;此外,本文進一步探討個人之家庭經濟負擔比率其如何對個人退休時點之選擇造成影響。實證結果顯示,家庭因素對個人預期退休年齡之決定確實會有影響;且隨著家庭型式的不同,影響的程度也會有所不同。配偶之預期退休年齡對個人的退休決定存在外溢效果,因此個人會傾向與配偶同時退休。另外,若個人須承擔之家庭經濟負擔越大時,則其會延後個人預期退休年齡之決定。


    The current documents of personal expectancy of retirement age mainly emphasize on personal economic factors, but recently, other countries have already extended its research to discuss about the household and social factors’ impact on the expectancy of retirement age. Moreover, scholars have indicated that research on the relationship between household factors and the personal expectancy of retirement age will be the mainstream of retirement research for the next decade.
    In this essay, we use the “Human Resource Survey plus Work Experience Survey Data” in Oct, 1997 by Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting, Statistics, Executive Yuan, which takes each household as its research subject according to the household number.
    First of all, we discuss about if the household member factors will have an impact on the personal expectancy of retirement age. Then, we classify the census data by each household structure to discuss them by group. And we observe if the influence level of household factors in each household type on the personal expectancy of retirement age have a difference. Further, if the individual in the household has a spouse, we discuss whether the individual’s and its spouse’s decisions on the expectancy of retirement age have the positively interacting relations. In addition, this essay further explores how the personal financial condition forms an influence on the timing of the personal expectancy of retirement age choice.
    According to the empirical result, the household factors do have an impact on the decision of person’s expectancy of retirement age. As the household type differs, the level of influence differs. The spouse’s expectancy of retirement age has spillover effect on the decision of a person’s retirement age, thus, the individual would incline to retire with his or her spouse at the same time. Besides, if a person has to carry more family financial responsibilities, he or she would postpone the decision of its expectancy of retirement age.

    中文摘要 ……………………………………………………… Ⅰ 英文摘要 ……………………………………………………… Ⅱ 誌謝 ……………………………………………………… Ⅲ 目錄 ……………………………………………………… Ⅳ 圖目錄 ……………………………………………………… Ⅵ 表目錄 ……………………………………………………… Ⅶ 第一章 緒論………………………………………………… 1 1.1 研究動機與目的…………………………………… 1 1.2 研究對象與研究方法……………………………… 5 1.3 本文架構…………………………………………… 6 第二章 文獻回顧…………………………………………… 7 2.1 家庭因素與預期退休年齡的早期研究…………… 7 2.2 家庭因素與預期退休年齡的近期研究…………… 10 2.3 本章小節…………………………………………… 14 第三章 理論模型與家庭因素………………………………… 16 3.1 家庭因素的理論模型……………………………… 16 3.2 家庭因素之探討…………………………………… 23 3.3 本章小節…………………………………………… 28 第四章 資料說明與實證模型設定…………………………… 30 4.1 資料來源與分佈…………………………………… 30 4.2 實證模型設定……………………………………… 31 4.3 本章小節…………………………………………… 47 第五章 實證結果分析………………………………………… 50 5.1 家庭因素對個人預期退休年齡影響之實證結果… 50 5.2 分群家庭因素對個人預期退休年齡影響之實證結果54 5.2.1 單人家庭…………………………………………… 55 5.2.2 單親家庭…………………………………………… 59 5.2.3 單身有父母家庭…………………………………… 64 5.2.4 夫婦家庭…………………………………………… 69 5.2.5 核心家庭…………………………………………… 74 5.2.6 三代家庭…………………………………………… 78 5.3 本章結論…………………………………………… 83 第六章 結論與建議…………………………………………… 88 參考文獻 ………………………………………………………… 92 附錄一 世界人口老化概況…………………………………… 95 附錄二 台灣老年人口與人口結構概況……………………… 96 附錄三 新舊勞工退休制度比較……………………………… 99 附錄四 退休三大財源之分析…………………………………101 附錄五 台灣雙薪家庭情形……………………………………102 附錄六 人力資源調查附帶工作經驗調查表問卷……………104 附錄七 台灣家庭結構現況……………………………………105 附錄八 薪資的估計方式………………………………………108 附錄九 Lazear強制性退休實證模型…………………………111 附錄十 原預期退休年齡值帶入的聯立方程式估計結果……112 附錄十一 加入薪資平方估計結果………………………………119

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