| 研究生: |
李憲彥 Danny Lee |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
台灣上市公司庫藏股購回宣告效應之研究 The study of listed companys'' stocks repurchases declaration effect in Taiwan |
| 指導教授: |
羅庚辛
Keng-Hsin Lo |
| 口試委員: | |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 企業管理學系 Department of Business Administration |
| 畢業學年度: | 93 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 51 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 庫藏股購回宣告效應 、事件研究法 、累積異常報酬 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | stocks repurchases decalaration effect, event study, cumulative abnormal return |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:13 下載:0 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
論文提要及內容:
本研究用事件研究法來分析庫藏股購回宣告效應,另外以t檢定、Scheffe檢定、複迴歸分析來檢定各因子是否對庫藏股購回宣告效應有影響。
台灣的庫藏股購回宣告效應是相當地顯著的,可以清楚的觀察到顯著的異常報酬與累積異常報酬,另外,在制度實施的第一年有明顯的新近效果,但在第二年後庫藏股購回宣告效應就已穩定。
從觀察代理變數對累積異常報酬的影響可以了解資訊不對稱程度越高者,庫藏股購回宣告效應越明顯,除了研發費用率一項並沒有發現顯著外,資本小、無形資產比例高、AR標準差大者的庫藏股購回宣告效應較明顯,資訊不對稱假說成立。
股價淨值比較低者的庫藏股購回宣告效應較大,驗證了價值低估假說,但前期累積異常跌幅較小者的持續效果反而較大,還有待以後研究者做進一步的探討。
本研究中的兩個代理變數並沒有發現資金充裕程度對庫藏股購回宣告效應的影響,與其他研究的不同代理變數有相同結論,可見得台灣市場不適用超額資金假說。
宣告目的三的庫藏股購回宣告效應大於宣告目的一,其中有趣的是宣告目的一的宣告前累積異常跌幅是大於宣告目的三的,和宣告目的本身成了對比。股價指數多空亦影響了庫藏股購回宣告效應,股價指數空頭時效應最大,要注意的是這應該是因為股價指數空頭時有較低的股價淨值比。最後,產業別並沒有對庫藏股購回宣告效應產生影響,此結果與其他研究不同。
This study uses event study、t test、Scheffe test、multi-regression to test some factors to know how they affect the stocks repurchases decalaration effect.
The results show that the stocks repurchases decalaration effect in Taiwan is very robust,besides in first year the CAR is much larger than other years and the effects become stable after the first year.
After statistical tests,our conclusions are as follow:
1.The higher the degree of information asymmetry,the effect is greater.
2.Low Price/Net value stocks have greater effect.
3.The hyphothesis of excess capital is not suit for Taiwan market.
4.The effect of intension 3 is greater than intension 1.
5.When the market index is low,it is always has greater effect.
6.Our results do not find any evidence to surpport the hypothesis that different industries have different CAR.This conclusion is different from others.
參考文獻
中文資料
邱煥堯(2001),“台灣股票市場庫藏股行情之實證研究”,國立中央大學企業管理研究所碩士論文
池祥萱(2003),“公開市場股票再買回之研究”,國立中央大學企業管理研究所博士論文
周賓凰與蔡坤芳(1996),”台灣股市日資料特性與事件研究法”,證券市場發展季刊第九卷第二期, pp.1-28
陳振遠與吳香蘭(2002),”台灣上市公司庫藏股購回宣告資訊內涵之研究”,中山管理評論第十卷第一期,pp.127~154
陳嘉惠、劉玉珍與林炯垚(2003),”公開市場股票購回影響因素分析”, 證券市場發展季刊,15:3, pp.27-62
英文資料
Banz, R.W.(1981),“The relationship between return and market value of common stocks “,Journal of financial economics march,Journal of Financial Economics , Vol. 9, Iss. 1, pp3-18
Bhattacharya, S.(1979),”Imperfect information Dividend policy and the bird in the hand fallacy”,Bell journal of economics 10, pp.259-270
Comment, Robert and Gregg Jarrell(1991),“The Relative Signaling Power of Dutch-Auction and Fixed-Price Self-Tender Offers and Open-Market Share Repurchases”,Journal of Finance ,Vol: 46 Iss: 4 , pp.1243-1271
Dann, Larry(1981),“Common Stock Repurchases: An Analysis of Returns to Bondholders and Stockholders“,Journal of Financial Economics Vol: 9 Iss: 2, pp. 101-138
Dittmar, Amy K. (2000),“Why Do Firms Repurchase Stock ?” ,Journal of Business, Vol. 73, no. 3. pp.331-356
Fama, Eugene, F., and Kenneth R. French(1998),”Value versus growth:The international evidence”,Journal of finance 53 , NO. 6 , pp.1975-1999.
Fenn, G.W. and N. Liang(2001),”Corporate payout policy and managerial stock incentives “,Journal of Financial Economics, 60, pp. 45-72.
Guffe, Daryl M and Schneider, Douglas K(2004),”Financial Characteristics of Firms Announcing Share Repurchases”,Journal of Business and Economic Studies, Vol. 10, No. 2, pp.13-27
Gustavo Grullon and Roni Michaely(2002),”Dividends, Share Repurchases, and
the Substitution Hypothesis”,The Journal of Finance VOL. LVII, NO. 4 , pp.387-424
Gustavo Grullon and Roni Michaely(2004),”The Information Content of Share Repurchase Programs”,The Journal of Finance, VOL. LIX, NO. 2, pp.651-681
Hodrick, L. S.(1996),“Does price elasticity affect corporate financial decision?”,Working paper. New York: Columbia University.
Ho Li-Chin、Jennifer, C.S. Liu, and R. Ramanan(1997),“Open-market stock repurchase announcements and revaluation of prior accounting information”,The Accounting Review 72, No. 3, pp. 475-489
Ikenberry, David、Josef Lakonishok and Theo Vermaelen (1995),”Market underreaction to open market share repurchases”, Journal of Financial Economics, 39, pp.181-208.
Jagannathan , Murali and Clifford Stephens(2003),“Motives for multiple open-market repurchase programs”,Financial Management, 32, pp.71-91
Jensen, M. C.(1986),“Agency costs of free cash flow”,American Economic Review 76, pp. 323-329.
Lehn and Poulsen(1989),”Free cash flow and stockholder gains in going private transaction ” ,The Journal of Finance, Vol.XLIV, No 3, pp.771-787
Lintner, J. (1956),”Distribution and income of corporations among Dividends、retained earnings and taxes”,American economic review , pp.97-113
Loughran, Tim(1997),”Book-to-Market across firm size, exchange and seasonality”,Journal of financial and quantitative analysis 32 , Spring , pp. 249-268
Masulis, R.W.(1980),“Stock Repurchase by Tender Offer:An Analysis of The Causes of Common Stock Price Changes.”,The Journal of Finance, Vol.35, No.2, pp.305-321.
Miller, M. and K. Rock(1985),”Dividend policy under asymmetric information”,Journal of finance, pp.133-152
Opler, T. and Sheridan Titman(1996),“The debt-equity choice: An analysis of issuing firms”,Working paper. Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina.
Oswald, Dennis and Steven Young(2004),”What Role Taxes and Regulation? A Second Look at Open Market Share Buyback Activity in the UK”,Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 31(1) & (2), pp.257-292
Pugh, William; Jahera, John S.,Jr.(1990),“stock repurchases and Excess Returns:An Empirical Examination.”,Financial Review (February)pp. 127-142
Rau, P.R. and Vermaelen, T.(2002),“Regulation, Taxes, and Share Repurchases in the United Kingdom”,Journal of Business, vol.75, no.2, pp.245-282
Reinganum, M.R(1981),”Misspecification of capital asset pricing:Empirical anomalies based on earnings yields and market value”,Journal of financial economics , no 9, pp.19-46
Stephens, C.P. & M.S. Weisbach(1988),“Actual Share Reacquisition in Open-Market Repurchase Programs”,The Journal of Finance, Vol.53, No.1, pp.313-333.
Vermaelen, T.(1984),“Repurchase Tender Offers, Signaling, and Managerial Incentives” ,Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 19, pp. 163-181.