| 研究生: |
張巧芬 Chiao-Fen Chang |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
股票投資策略─以化肥產業東鹼及惠光為例 |
| 指導教授: |
洪榮華
none 黄承祖 none |
| 口試委員: | |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 高階主管企管碩士班 Executive MBA Program |
| 論文出版年: | 2023 |
| 畢業學年度: | 111 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 75 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 移動平均線 、隨機指標 、相對強弱指標 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Relative Strength Index (RSI), Taiwan Stock Exchange Capitalization Weighted Stock Index (TAIEX) |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:11 下載:0 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
本研究探討股價變動跟基本面、技術面、籌碼面與消息面的關聯性。台灣上市上櫃公司超過一仟七佰家,基本面分析可用來做為投資標的選擇的參考,包括產業別和個股的選定,再運用技術指標當做買賣交易訊號,同時觀察籌碼面與消息面對股價的影響,試著發現投資勝敗是否有一定的脈絡可循。本研究主要是針對化肥類股的東鹼和惠光做探討,再利用二組不同的投資策略當做研究組和對照組:研究組主要是利用移動平均線和KD指標來做買賣,同時觀察成交量、三大法人進出和融資融劵餘額;對照組策略相對簡單,只看隨機指標即做買賣,同時紀錄RSI的變化。分析結果發現,研究組的平均累計報酬率優於對照組,而二組投資策略結果皆優於化工類股指數和台灣加權指數。
The study explores the relationship between stock price change and its fundamental, technical, chips, and information aspects. Fundamental analysis is used to select the investment objects from industry, technical indicators, chip status as well as market information are used to form investment strategy. The sample firms, Sesoda and Huikwang, are chemical fertilizer manufactures listed on the Taiwan Stock Exchange. The moving average, KD indicators, the trading volume, the transaction status of the three major legal entities and the margin balance are used as trading signals in research group, in contrast, the KD indicator and the changes in RSI are applied in control group. The results show that the average annualized rate of return of the research group is better than that of the control group, and the that the performance of both investment strategies is better than that of Chemical Index and the TAIEX.
參考文獻
1. 生物科技產業中心–農業生技產業季刊第66期( 43-45頁),全球肥料產業趨勢分析 撰文/譚中岳•楊玉婷。http://www.biotaiwan.org.tw/mag/magazine_list_2.aspx?sno=98
2. 周淑月/蔡尚翰,從通貨膨脹看農業科技發展,發行於暨大電子雜誌,200808期。
3. 政大學術集成,景氣循環與投資策略。https://ah.nccu.edu.tw/bitstream/140.119/35372/7/93211307.pdf
4. 鄭景鴻,美元指數、原油價格與糧食價格的關係,嶺東科技大學,經營管理研究所碩士論文,民國101年6月。
參考網站
1. 工商日報(2022/06) https://ctee.com.tw/news/global/667057.html
2. 中華民國統計資訊https://www.stat.gov.tw/public/Data/826163210VTN8S5UB.pdf
3. 中國信託證券https://ctbcsec.win168.com.tw/Article/Info/a235e035-dab2-417a-8d0c-6c7886ddc7ab
4. 今周刋 https://www.businesstoday.com.tw/article/category/183017/post/202205110076/
5. 市場先生https://rich01.com/msci/
6. 市場先生https://rich01.com/what-is-trading-volume/
7. 市場先生https://rich01.com/what-is-kd-indicator/
8. 市場先生https://rich01.com/what-is-macd-indicator/
9. 市場先生 https://rich01.com/rsi-index-review/
10. 化學生活https://www.lifechem.tw/blog/220502
11. 台灣經濟研究院 https://www.tier.org.tw/forecast/macro_trends.aspx
12. 投資小學堂Cmoney https://www.cmoney.tw/learn/course/technicals/topic/1110
13. 享受自由生活https://enjoyfreedomlife.com/trend-judgment/
14. 享受自由生活https://enjoyfreedomlife.com/four-aspects-of-the-stock-market/#5--%E6%B6%88%E6%81%AF%E9%9D%A2%E5%88%86%E6%9E%90-
15. 股感 https://www.stockfeel.com.tw/%E7%8D%B2%E5%88%A9%E8%83%BD%E5%8A%9B%E2%94%80%E5%85%AC%E5%8F%B8%E6%9C%89%E6%B2%92%E6%9C%89%E5%88%A9%E6%BD%A4%EF%BC%9F/
16. 股感
https://www.stockfeel.com.tw/%E6%AD%B7%E5%8F%B2%E4%B8%8A%E5%88%A9%E7%8E%87%E5%8D%87%E6%81%AF%E7%9A%84%E6%9C%9F%E9%96%93%EF%BC%8C%E8%82%A1%E5%B8%82%E9%83%BD%E5%A6%82%E4%BD%95%E8%AE%8A%E5%8C%96%EF%BC%9F/
17. 科技大觀園 https://scitechvista.nat.gov.tw/Article/c000003/detail?ID=18578792-0736-4b96-af02-2df78155e255
18. 財經M平方 https://www.macromicro.me/trader-insights
19. 理財寶CMoney https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=73041
20. 理財寶CMoney https://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?nid=122465
21. 理財新手福利社https://theteenworker.com/balance-of-margin-and-stock-loan/
22. 黄金本人https://augustime.com/moving-average/
23. 國家發展委員會https://www.ndc.gov.tw/News_Content.aspx?n=01B17A05A9374683&sms=32ADE0CD4006BBE5&s=33C56430300923EB
24. 維基百科https://zh.wikipedia.org/zh-tw/%E6%B6%88%E8%B2%BB%E8%80%85%E7%89%A9%E5%83%B9%E6%8C%87%E6%95%B8
25. 懶人經濟學https://earning.tw/what-is-dji-index/
26. 飆股在線等 第40集https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rpt58Jiqah8
27. 轟天雷http://www.yunfar.com.tw/E-learning/Average-line.html
28. BINANCE – Academy https://academy.binance.com/zt/articles/beginners-candlestick-patterns
29. CME Group https://www.cmegroup.com/cn-t/insights/economic- research/2022/crop-prices-and-inflation-what-is-the-relationship.html
30. Enjoy freedom life https://enjoyfreedomlife.com/trading-volume/
31. IG website (GDP) https://www.ig.com/cn/glossary-trading-terms/gdp-definition
32. IG Website https://www.ig.com/cn/trading-strategies/16-candlestick-patterns-every-trader-should-know-220323
33. OANDA Lab https://www.oanda.com/bvi-ft/lab-education/oil/01/
34. OANDA Lab https://www.oanda.com/bvi-ft/lab-education/dictionary/na_si_da_ke/
35. OANDA Lab https://www.oanda.com/bvi-ft/lab-education/indices/09/
36. OANDA Lab https://www.oanda.com/bvi-ft/lab-education/technical_analysis/dow- theory/