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研究生: 范佐瑄
Tso-Hsuan Fan
論文名稱: 盤後交易制度對於台灣期貨市場的價格發現能力之影響
The effect of after-hours trading on the price discovery ability of the Taiwan futures market
指導教授: 高櫻芬
Yin-Feng Gau
口試委員:
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 財務金融學系
Department of Finance
論文出版年: 2019
畢業學年度: 107
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 50
中文關鍵詞: 價格發現價格加權貢獻資訊比例模型
外文關鍵詞: price discovery, weighted price contribution, information share
相關次數: 點閱:11下載:0
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  • 台灣期貨交易所於2017年5月15日延長了台灣指數期貨的交易時段,盤後交易能使交易台指期的投資人能夠即時應對國際股市的變化。由於盤後交易時段涵蓋了整個美國股市的開收盤期間,故夜盤的日內波動容易受到美國市場影響。本研究使用了價格加權貢獻(weighted price contribution)和資訊比例(information share)兩種衡量指標,來探討台指期正常交易時段和盤後交易時段的價格發現能力之相對大小,並且檢驗美國總體經濟宣告發佈是否會提升當日盤後交易時段的資訊比例。此外本研究使用AR(1)-GARCH(1,1)探討在延長交易時間制度實施後,隔日報酬的波動是否會較小,並探討當美國總體經濟宣告值與市場預期不同時,對台指期市場的報酬與波動的反應,以及美國宣告的影響效果是否會在延長交易時間後有顯著的改變。


    Taiwan Futures Exchange extended the trading hours of the Taiwan Stock Price Index Futures on May 15, 2017. After-hours trading enables investors to respond immediately to overnight market shocks. Since the trading period of night market in the TAIFEX overlaps with the entire trading period of US stock market, this thesis studies the impact of US market on the intraday volatility in the night market. Using two measures, including weighted price contribution and information share, we gauge the price discovery in normal trading period and after-hours trading period, and further explore whether the night market responds to US macroeconomic announcements, with an increase in the information share of night market. In addition, this thesis focuses on whether the return volatility decreases the next day after extending trading hours of Taiwan Stock Price Index Futures, and use the AR(1)-GARCH(1,1) model to study whether the impact of US macroeconomic announcements on the volatility of day market changes after extending trading hours.

    中文摘要 i 英文摘要 ii 目錄 iii 圖目錄 iv 表目錄 v 第一章 緒論1 第二章 文獻回顧3 第一節 價格加權貢獻3 第二節 資訊比例4 第三節 美國總經宣告對股票市場的影響4 第三章 研究方法6 第一節 資料來源6 第二節 總體經濟變數6 第三節 價格加權貢獻7 第四節 資訊比例模型8 第五節 美國總經宣告對台指期市場的影響10 第四章 實證結果12 第一節 各交易時段之價格加權貢獻12 第二節 台指期日夜盤之資訊比例13 第三節 美國總體經濟宣告的期貨日盤市場報酬與波動的影響15 第五章 結論17 參考文獻19 附錄一 39 附錄二42

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