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研究生: 林文明
Wen-Ming Lin
論文名稱: 右設限存活資料中每日可服劑量之統計推論
指導教授: 陳玉英
Yuh-Ing Chen
口試委員:
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 理學院 - 統計研究所
Graduate Institute of Statistics
畢業學年度: 94
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 44
中文關鍵詞: 標竿劑量額外風險Cox比例風險模式每日可服劑量限制平均壽命
外文關鍵詞: Extra risk, Restricted Mean Life Time, ADI, Cox Proportional Hazard Model
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  • 毒物研究中每日可服劑量(Allowable Daily Intakes;簡稱ADI)之決定是一項重要的課題,因為服用過多的劑量將會有毒性反應產生。本文研究如何就多組符合Cox比例風險模式之右設限資料,根據機率衡量及限制平均壽命衡量建立額外風險,並且在一定的安全閥值下,估計毒物標竿劑量及其信賴下限,做為ADI的估計值。之後,藉由模擬研究探討額外風險要求下機率衡量與限制平均壽命衡量建構的標竿劑量信賴下界之覆蓋機率及其與真正標竿劑量的偏誤。最後,以一實例說明本文所提方法之應用。


    In toxicity study, how to determine ADI (Allowable Daily Intakes) is an important issue because of taking the dose over acceptable region may cause an abnormal adverse. According to safe threshold values demand, we use two statistical methods to estimate ADI - one is probability measurement, and the other is restricted mean life time measurement under Cox proportional hazard model for right-censored survival data. We further conduct a simulation study to investigate the coverage probability of the lower confidence limit for benchmark dose (BMD) and bias under these two measurements. Finally, the use of those procedures is illustrated with a right-censored survival data

    第一章 研究動機及目的……………………………………1 第二章 文獻回顧……….……………………………………3 2.1 標竿劑量………………………………………………4 2.2 輻射劑量……………………………………………5 2.3 比例風險模式…………………………………………6 2.4 限制平均存活壽命...…………………………………7 第三章 統計方法...…………………………………………10 3.1 額外風險要求下的每日可服劑量估計……………10 3.2 限制平均壽命額外風險之每日可服劑量估計……13 第四章 模擬研究...…………………………………………15 4.1 模擬方法……………………………………………15 4.2 模擬結果……………………………………………16 第五章 實例分析……………………………………………18 第六章 結論及未來可行之研究…………………………21 參考文獻………………………………………………………22

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