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研究生: 黃仕傑
Shih-Chieh Huang
論文名稱: 從COVID-19疫情探討影響銀行財務風險的因素
指導教授: 鄒孟文
口試委員:
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 產業經濟研究所
Graduate Institute of Industrial Economics
論文出版年: 2024
畢業學年度: 112
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 39
中文關鍵詞: 銀行財務風險資本結構董事會性別多樣性
外文關鍵詞: COVID
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  • 本研究採用台灣經濟新報(Taiwan Economy Journal)2016年第一季至2023年第四季台灣共13家銀行資料,談討銀行資本結構、營運決策與股權及公司治理指標對銀行破產風險之關聯。利用Z-Score、放款佔資產比率與逾期放款比率作為衡量銀行風險之相關應變數。解釋變數部分,資本結構以資本規模、資本適足率、第一類資本比率與備抵呆帳覆蓋率為相關解釋變數;營運決策以放款存款比率、中小企業放款比率與利息收入佔比作為相關解釋變數;股權及公司治理層面則以政府持股虛擬變數、銀行管理階層人事異動與董事會性別多樣性指標作為相關解釋變數。以OLS迴歸模型估計各解釋變數對銀行風險之影響,再加入解釋變數與COVID虛擬變數之交乘項,分析各解釋變數在疫情期間所帶來之影響。
    實證結果顯示,BASEL III協議所重視之銀行資本結構對銀行在疫情期間之風險具有顯著影響,改善資本結構能夠降低銀行破產風險,同時只要搭配嚴格的審核機制,放款未必會顯著增加銀行風險。股權方面政府持股銀行相較其他銀行有著更低的破產風險,而目前國際逐漸重視之董事會性別多元對台灣銀行財務風險似尚無明顯之影響。


    This study utilizes data from 13 Taiwanese banks, collected from the first quarter of 2016 to the fourth quarter of 2023 by the Taiwan Economy Journal, to examine the relationship between bank capital structure, operational decisions, equity, corporate governance indicators, and bankruptcy risk. The Z-Score, loan-to-asset ratio, and non-performing loan ratio are employed as dependent variables to measure bank risk.

    For the independent variables, capital structure is represented by capital scale, capital adequacy ratio, Tier 1 capital ratio, and loan loss reserve coverage ratio. Operational decisions are measured by the loan-to-deposit ratio, SME loan ratio, and the proportion of interest income. Equity and corporate governance are represented by a dummy variable for government ownership, management turnover, and board gender diversity index.

    An OLS regression model is used to estimate the impact of these variables on bank risk. Additionally, interaction terms between the independent variables and a COVID dummy variable are included to analyze the effects during the pandemic.

    Empirical results indicate that the capital structure emphasized by the Basel III Accord significantly impacts bank risk during the pandemic. Improving capital structure can reduce bankruptcy risk, and, with stringent auditing mechanisms, increased lending does not necessarily elevate bank risk. Government-owned banks exhibit lower bankruptcy risk compared to other banks. However, the increasingly emphasized board gender diversity in international discourse does not show a significant effect in the Taiwanese banking sector.

    摘要 .………………………………………………………………………………......i Abstract .……………………………………………………………………………...ii 誌謝 .........……………………………………………………………………………iii 目錄 ..……...…………………………………………………………………………iv 表目錄 ……...………………………………………………………………………..vi圖目錄 ……...……………………………………………………………………….vii 第一章 緒論 ..………………………………………………………………………..1 1-1 研究背景與動機 …………..……………………………………………….1 1-2 研究目的與架構 ……………..…………………………………………….3 第二章 文獻回顧 ……………………………………………………………………5 第三章 資料來源與實證模型 ………………………………………………………7 3-1 資料來源 …………………………………………………………………...7 3-2 變數定義與說明 …………………………………………………………...8 3-3 實證模型 ………………………………………………………………….10 第四章 實證結果 …………………………………………………………………..13 4-1 敘述統計量 ……………………………………………………………….13 4-2 解釋變數間之相關係數 ………………………………………………….14 4-3 Z-Score與其組成成分之影響因素估計結果 ……………………………16 4-4 放款佔資產比率與逾期放款比率影響因素之估計結果 ……………….19 4-5 各解釋變數在疫情時期交互影響之估計結果 ………………………….21 第五章 結論與研究限制 …………………………………………………………..24 5-1 結論 ……………………………………………………………………….24 5-2 研究限制 ………………………………………………………………….25 5-3 未來研究可行方向 ……………………………………………………….25 參考文獻 ……………………………………………………………………………26 中文文獻 ………………………………………………………………………26 英文文獻 ………………………………………………………………………26

    中文文獻

    林昆立、黃玉麗與陳思穎 (2015),「銀行股權與市場紀律的關係:全球實證」,管理學報第三十三卷第三期,383-417。

    胡沛詮 (2020),「銀行資本在流動性創造與風險中的調節效果–以台灣銀行業為例」,東吳大學企業管理學系,碩士論文。

    黃國睿 (2022),「銀行資本與流動性創造之交互關係——資本適足性是否重要?」,國立台灣大學財務金融研究所,博士論文。

    黃亭維 (2021),「銀行董事會多元化,業務多樣性與經營績效」,亞洲大學財務金融系,碩士論文。

    劉芷因 (2023),「董事會性別平衡對經營績效影響」,國立中央大學產業經濟研究所在職專班,碩士論文。

    劉景中 (2009),「銀行集中度與臺灣銀行業風險之關聯性研究:以證券市場資料評估」,商管科技季刊第十卷第三期,527-552。

    英文文獻

    Ali, L. and S. Dhiman (2019), “The Impact of Credit Risk Management on Profitability of Public Sector Commercial Banks in India,” Journal of Commerce & Accounting Research 8 (2), 86-92.

    Anani, M. and F. Owusu (2022), “Regulatory capital and bank risk-resilience amid the Covid-19 pandemic: How are the Basel reforms faring?” Finance Research Letters 52, 103591.

    Cao, Y.-F. and J.-Y. Chou (2022), “Bank resilience over the COVID-19 crisis: The role of regulatory capital” Finance Research Letters 48, 102891.

    Do, Q.A., V. Phan and D.T. Nguyen (2022), “How do local banks respond to natural disasters?” The European Journal of Finance, 29(7), 754-779

    Duan, Y.-J., S.E. Ghoul, O. Guedhami, H.-R. Li and X.-M. Li (2021), “Bank systemic risk around COVID-19: A cross-country analysis,” Journal of Banking & Finance 133, 106299

    Elnahass, M, V.Q. Trinh and T. Li (2021) “Global banking stability in the shadow of Covid-19 outbreak,” Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money 72, 101322

    Huang, Q.-B. (2023), “Ownership concentration and bank stability in China,” Economics Letters, 30(15), 2108-2112

    Hou, S.-H. (2021), “The nonlinear relationship between banks competition and financial stability in China,” Economics Letters, 30(3), 331-335

    Kryzanowski, L., J.-J. Liu and J. Zhang (2022), “Effect of COVID-19 on non-performing loans in China,” Finance Research Letters 52 103372

    Liu, C. and Y.W. Wu (2023) “Gender diversity and bank risk-taking: female directors and executives,” Managerial Finance 49(5), 761-788

    Othmani, H. (2020), “Does board gender diversity matter in the banking sector? Evidence from Tunisia,” African Development 33(1), 14–24.

    Shabir, M., P. Jiang, W.-H. Wang and Ö. Işık (2023), “COVID-19 pandemic impact on banking sector: A cross-country analysis,” Journal of Multinational Financial Management 67, 100784

    Tran, D.V., M.K. Hassan, A.W. Alam and N. Dau (2021), “Banks’ financial soundness during the COVID-19 pandemic,” Journal of Economics and Finance 46, 713–735

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