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研究生: 張瑞井
Ruei-Jing Zhang
論文名稱: 新冠肺炎疫情對台灣工業區土地價格之影響—以桃園市為例
The Impact of the Coronavirus Disease on Industrial land in Industrial Area — A Case Study of Taoyuan City
指導教授: 吳大任
Dachrahn Wu
鄒孟文
Meng-Wen Tsou
口試委員:
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 產業經濟研究所
Graduate Institute of Industrial Economics
論文出版年: 2022
畢業學年度: 110
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 42
中文關鍵詞: 特徵價格模型工業地交易鄒檢定新冠疫情
外文關鍵詞: Hedonic price model, Industrial land transaction, Chow-test, COVID-19
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  • 隨著近年中美貿易戰與新冠疫情的影響,台商有回流台灣投資的狀況,導致近期工業土地的價格有上漲的狀況,有鑑於相關的研究已停滯多時,所以有了這個研究的產生,資料來源為「經濟部IDB工業土地應用系統」,研究2018-2021年的工業土地交易情形,範圍以桃園八個行政區為主,並以特徵價格模型以及鄒檢定為分析的基礎。

    研究結果顯示廠商會考慮購買政府管理的工業土地,交通越便利亦或是離市中心越近,都將造成交易顯著上升,此外政府工業地對於廠商也極具吸引力,是最能影響交易價格的主因,本研究也是相關研究中,首篇把疫情之後的時間點納入變數的論文,實證也顯示與台商回流的時間吻合,疫情後對工業土地交易價格有顯著的正向影響。


    After the trade war and the epidemic in recent years, Taiwanese people in business have returned to invest in Taiwan, which has led to a recent increase in industrial land prices. This research was produced considering that the relevant research has been stagnant for a long time. The data source is from " The IDB Industrial Land Application System of the Ministry of Economic Affairs researches the industrial land transaction situation from 2018 to 2021, mainly in the eight administrative districts of Taoyuan. This paper takes the hedonic price model and Chow-test as the theoretical basis.
    The research results show that manufacturers will consider purchasing industrial land from the government. The more convenient the transportation is or, the closer it is to the city center, the transaction will increase significantly. In addition, government industrial land appeals to manufacturers, which is the main reason that can affect the transaction price; this study is also the first paper in the related research that incorporates the time point after the epidemic into a variable. The empirical evidence also shows that it is consistent with the time when Taiwanese business people return, and the post-epidemic impact on the transaction price of industrial land has a significant positive effect.

    目錄 致謝 i 摘要 ii Abstract iii 目錄 v 圖目錄 vii 表目錄 viii 第一章 緒論 1 1-1 研究背景與動機 1 1-1-1 台灣工業區狀況 1 1-1-2 台商受到中美貿易戰及疫情而回流台灣 3 1-2研究目的 6 1-3研究架構 7 第二章 文獻回顧 9 2-1特徵價格模型的應用 9 2-1鄒檢定及其應用應用 14 第三章 資料來源與研究方法 15 3-1研究範圍與資料來源 15 3-2變數名稱定義與基本統計量 21 3-3特徵價格模型(Hedonic Price Model) 28 3-3-1 HPM各模型型態 29 3-3-2 鄒檢定 31 第四章 實證分析 33 4.1實證結果分析 33 4-2Chow test 驗證結果 37 第五章 結論與建議 39 5-1結論 39 5-2建議 40 第六章 參考文獻 41

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