| 研究生: |
沈金玉 Chin-Yu Shen |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
從中美貿易戰看人民幣對亞洲國家匯率影響之研究 |
| 指導教授: |
高櫻芬
Yin‑Feng Gau |
| 口試委員: | |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 財務金融學系在職專班 Executive Master of Finance |
| 論文出版年: | 2020 |
| 畢業學年度: | 108 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 46 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 中美貿易摩擦 、外匯市場 、人民幣匯率 、Frankel-Wei迴歸模型 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Sino-US trade friction, Foreign exchange market, RMB exchange rate, Frankel-Wei regression model |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:14 下載:0 |
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本論文探討在中美貿易摩擦的背景下,人民幣是否為亞洲地區經濟體的外匯穩定匯率,或為決定亞洲國家匯率的隱性貨幣籃子中最重要的一種貨幣。本文參考Kawai and Pontines (2016) 對於Frankel–Wei迴歸的修正模型,考慮人民幣和美元匯率之間的共線性,進行分析。研究結果顯示,美元仍然是整個亞洲貨幣市場最主要的匯率參考依據。而根據本研究的實證結果大都顯示,人民幣的通貨籃內基本上只有美元,除了美元之外,沒有任何貨幣在人民幣匯率機制中能持續且具有影響力。
This thesis uses the Frankel-Wei regression model to investigate whether the RMB has become an important currency in the determination of exchange rates of the Asian economies or the most important hidden currency basket. We further study the role of RMB in the context of Sino-US trade friction. We use Kawai and Pontines (2016)’s revised model for Frankel–Wei regression and consider the collinearity between the RMB and US dollar exchange rates. The results show that the US dollar is still the most important exchange rate reference currency for the Asian currencies’ exchange rates studied in this research. We also find that the RMB currency basket contains basically only US dollars. Apart from the US dollar, no currency can be sustained and influential in the RMB exchange rate determination mechanism.
(一)英文文獻
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10.Kawai, M., Pontines, V. (2016). Is there really a renminbi bloc in Asia?: A modified Frankel–Wei approach. Journal of International Money and Finance, 62, 72-97.
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(二)中文文獻
1.王子睿 (2019), 「中美貿易戰對於人民幣境內境外價差的影響」,國立中央大學碩士論文。
2.黃政欽(2019),「人民幣加入SDR對國際外匯市場動態關聯性之研究」,正修科技大學碩士論文。
3.許榕恩 (2017),「人民幣納入SDR之研究」,淡江大學碩士論文。
4.賴韋湘 (2018),「人民幣與亞洲國家貨幣共移現象之研究 -以中美貿易摩擦為例」,國立台北大學碩士論文。
5.謝明瑞 (2019),「中美貿易戰對國際經濟的影響」,國家政策研究基金會國政研究報告。
6.魏敏聰 (2018),「國際儲備貨幣投資組合之波動研究」,淡江大學碩士論文。
(三)網路資訊
1.經濟部國際貿易局經貿資訊網https://www.trade.gov.tw/Pages/Detail.aspx?nodeID=4015&pid=636907
2.BBC 中文新聞網
https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/world-49986037
3.財金M平方-時間軸專區
https://www.macromicro.me/time_line?id=1&stat=724