跳到主要內容

簡易檢索 / 詳目顯示

研究生: 王瑋辰
Wei-Chen Wang
論文名稱: 首次代幣發行白皮書之主題分析對首次代幣發行之影響
The impact of topic modeling of initial coin offering whitepapers on initial coin offerings
指導教授: 顏如君
Ju-Chun Yen
口試委員:
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 會計研究所
Graduate Institute of Accounting
論文出版年: 2021
畢業學年度: 109
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 51
中文關鍵詞: 首次代幣發行白皮書揭露資訊不對稱資訊揭露主題建模
外文關鍵詞: whitepaper disclosure, information disclosure
相關次數: 點閱:14下載:0
分享至:
查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報
  • 首次代幣發行(Initial coin offering,ICO)在近年來成為一種新型態的投資方式,新創企業透過將代幣出售給投資人以募集資金,而 ICO 白皮書是提供給潛在投資人最為重要的資訊來源。目前 ICO 白皮書並沒有強制規範揭露內容,ICO 發行方所揭露的內容可能不是投資方所在意的、或是刻意隱藏對發行方不利之資訊。因此發行方與投資方之間產生資訊不對稱,進一步影響募資成功的可能性。由於 ICO 涉及較多新技術,非具專業知識的投資人可能較難以理解其內容,低質量的 ICO 可能藉由模仿高質量的 ICO 的白皮書揭露資訊以混淆投資方,因此投資方會更注重於 ICO 白皮書揭露之特定內容。本研究使用隱含狄利克雷分布(Latent Dirichlet allocation,LDA),LDA 是一種機率主題模型,本研究使用 LDA 對 ICO 白皮書內容進行主題分析,以 2017 年至 2020 年止共 1,024個 ICO 觀察值為樣本,研究結果發現當 ICO 白皮書內容敘述與區塊鏈技術、區塊鏈應用、ICO 資訊、金融服務相關的資訊越多時,募資到的金額越多。發行方在撰寫 ICO 白皮書內容時可以著重於特定主題的內容,降低發行方與投資方間的資訊不對稱,以提高投資者的投資意願。


    Initial coin offering (ICO) has become a new type of investment method in recent years. New ventures raise capital by selling tokens to investors. The ICO whitepapers are the most important sources of information provided to potential investors. Since there is no
    mandatory standard for the contents in ICO whitepapers, the information disclosed by the issuer may not be interested by investors, or the issuer may deliberately conceal the unfavorable information. Information asymmetry between issuers and investors affects the possibility of ICO success. ICO whitepapers may be difficult for non-professional investors to understand
    due to the new technologies. Low-quality ICOs may confuse investors by imitating the content of high-quality ICO white papers. Therefore, investors will focus more on specific content in the ICO whitepaper. This study uses LDA, a probability topic model, to conduct topic analysis
    on the content of ICO whitepapers. I use 1,024 ICO observations from 2017 to 2020 as the sample. The results show that the more disclosures related to blockchain technology, blockchain applications, ICO information, and financial services in ICO whitepapers, the more funds are
    raised. To reduce the information asymmetry between the issuer and the investor and increase investors’ willingness to invest, the issuer can focus on specific topics when writing the ICO whitepaper.

    目錄 壹、緒論 ................................................................. 1 貳、文獻探討及研究問題發展 ............................................... 3 一、 區塊鏈技術和加密貨幣 ............................................. 3 二、 首次代幣發行白皮書揭露內容 ....................................... 4 三、 主題建模 ......................................................... 6 參、 研究方法 ........................................................... 8 一、 研究期間與樣本選取 ............................................... 8 二、 主題建模 ......................................................... 8 三、 應變數-ICO 募資成功定義 ......................................... 14 四、 研究模型 ........................................................ 15 肆、實證結果與分析 ...................................................... 17 一、 白皮書主題分布對應樣本 .......................................... 17 二、 敘述統計與相關敘述 .............................................. 22 三、 相關係數矩陣 .................................................... 23 四、 主要迴歸分析結果 ................................................ 27 五、 穩健性及額外分析結果 ............................................ 29 伍、結論 ................................................................ 34

    Adhami, S., Giudici, G., and Martinazzi, S. 2018. Why do businesses go crypto? An empirical
    analysis of initial coin offerings, Journal of Economics and Business, (forthcoming).
    Ahlers, G. K. C., Cumming, D, Gunther. D., and Schweizer, D. 2015. Signaling in equity
    crowdfunding. Entrepreneurship: Theory and Practice, 39, 955-980.
    Amsden, R., and Schweizer, D. 2018. Are blockchain crowdsales the new “gold rush”? Success
    determinants of initial coin offerings. Working paper.
    Blackwell, D. W., Noland. T. R., and Winters, D. B. 1998. The value of auditor assurance:
    evidence from loan pricing, Journal of Accounting Research, 36, 57-70.
    Blaseg, D. 2018. Dynamics of voluntary disclosure in the unregulated market of initial coin
    offerings. Working paper (Goethe University Frankfurt).
    Cao, J., Xia, T., Li, J., Zhang, Y., Tang, S. 2009. A density-based method for adaptive LDA
    model selection. Neurocomputing, 72, 1775-1781.
    Clayton, J. 2017. Statement on cryptocurrencies and initial coin offerings. Available at:
    https://www.sec.gov/news/public-statement/statement-clayton-2017-12-11. Accessed:
    May 12, 2021.
    Cohney, S., Hoffman, D. A., Sklaroff, J. and Wishnick, D. 2019. Coin-operated capitalism.
    Columbia Law Review, 119, 591-676.
    Dai, J., Vasarhelyi, M. A. 2017. Toward blockchain-based accounting and assurance. Journal
    of Information Systems, 31, 5-21.36
    Feng, C., Li, N., Wong, M. H. F., and Zhang, M. 2018. Initial coin offerings, blockchain
    technology, and white paper disclosures. Working paper (University of British Columbia
    and University of Toronto).
    Feuerriegel, S., Ratku, A., Neumann, D. 2016. Analysis of how underlying topics in financial
    news affect stock prices using latent dirichlet allocation, Hawaii International Conference
    on System Sciences, 49, 1072-1081.
    Fisch, C. 2019. Initial coin offerings (ICOs) to finance new ventures. Journal of Business
    Venturing, 34, 1-22.
    Francis, J., Nanda, D. and Olsson, P. 2008. Voluntary disclosure, earnings euality, and cost of
    capital. Journal of Accounting Research, 41, 53-99.
    Hand, J. R. M., Holthausen, R. W., and Leftwich, R. W.. 1992. The effect of bond rating agency
    announcements on bond and stock prices. The Journal of Finance, 47, 733-752.
    Healy, P. M., Palepu, K. 2000. Information asymmetry, corporate disclosure and the capital
    markets: a review of the empirical disclosure literature. JAE Rochester Conference, 31,
    405-440.
    Hruschka, H. 2016. Hidden variable models for market basket data. Working paper (University
    of Regensburg).
    Howell, S. T., Niessner, M., and Yermack, D. 2019. Initial coin offerings: financing growth
    with cryptocurrency token sales. Working paper (National Bureau of Economic Research).
    Kaal, W. A., and Dell’Erba, M. 2017. Initial coin offerings: emerging practices, risk factors,
    and red flags. Social Science Research Network.
    Konstantinidis, I., Siaminos. G, Timplalexis, C., Zervas, P., Peristeras,V ., and Decker, S. 2018.
    Blockchain for business applications: a systematic literature review. Business Information
    Systems, 384-399.37
    Lambert, R. A., Leuz, C., and Verrecchia, R. E. 2011. Information asymmetry, information
    precision, and the cost of capital. Review of Finance, 16, 1-29.
    Lang, M., Lins, K. V., and Maffett, M. 2012. Transparency, liquidity, and valuation:
    international evidence on when transparency matters most. Journal of Accounting
    Research, 50, 729-774.
    Lauren, B., Moro, A. 2018. What makes an ICO successful? An investigation of the role of ICO
    characteristics, team quality and market sentiment. Social Science Research Network.
    Lee, D. K. C., Guo, L., and Wang, Y. 2018. Cryptocurrency: a new investment opportunity?
    Journal of Alternative Investments, 20, 16-40.
    Loughran, T., and McDonald. B. 2013. IPO first-day returns, offer price revisions, volatility,
    and form S-1 language. Journal of Financial Economics, 109, 307-326
    Mattke, J., Maier, C., Hund, A., Weitzel, T. 2019. How an enterprise blockchain application in
    the U.S. pharmaceuticals supply chain is saving lives. MIS Quarterly Executive, 18, 245-
    261.
    Nguyen, T, Shirai K, Velcin J. 2015. Sentiment analysis on social media for stock movement
    prediction. Expert Systems with Applications, 42, 9603-9611.
    Pflugrath, G., Roebuck, P., and Simnett, R. 2011. Impact of assurance and assurer’s
    professional affiliation on financial analysts’ asessment of credibility of corporate social
    responsibility information. Auditing: A Journal of Practice and Theory, 30, 239-254.
    Pröllochs, N., Feuerriegel, S. 2020. Business analytics for strategic management: identifying
    and assessing corporate challenges via topic modeling. Information and Management, 57,
    103070.
    Pilkington, M. 2016. Blockchain technology: principles and applications. Research Handbook
    on Digital Transformations, 225-253.38
    Reisenbichler, M., Reutterer, T. 2019. Topic modeling in marketing: recent advances and
    research opportunities. Journal of Business Economics, 89, 327-356.
    Rhue, L. 2018. Trust is all you need: an empirical exploration of initial coin offerings (ICOs)
    and ICO reputation scores. Social Science Research Network.
    Roosenboom, P. de Jong, A., and van der Kolk, T. 2018. What determines success in initial
    coin offerings? Venture Capital, 22, 161-183.
    Ruce P. 2011. Anti-money laundering: the challenges of know your customer legislation for
    private bankers and the hidden benefits for relationship management (‘the bright side of
    knowing your customer’). Bank Law Journal, 128, 548-564
    Samieifar, S., Baur, D. G.2021. Read me if you can! An analysis of ICO white papers. Finance
    Research Letters, 38, 101427.
    Shepherd, M. 2019. ICO statistics: Funding, investment, and best ICOs. Available at:
    https://www.fundera.com/resources/ico-statistics. Accessed: May 12, 2021.
    Shifflett, S., and Jones, C. 2018. Buyer beware: hundreds of bitcoin wannabes show hallmarks
    of fraud. Available at: https://www.wsj.com/articles/buyer-beware-hundreds-of-bitcoinwannabes-show-hallmarks-of-fraud-1526573115. Accessed: May 12, 2021.
    Sievert, C., Shirley, K. E. 2014. LDAvis: a method for visualizing and interpreting topics.
    Proceedings of the Workshop on Interactive Language Learning, Visualization, and
    Interfaces, 63-70.
    Steves, M. 2018. Crypto currency and blockchain technology: a decentralized future. RBC
    Capital Markets Equity Research.
    Stiglitz, J. E. 2002. Information and the change in the paradigm in economics. American
    Economic Review, 92, 460-501.
    Spence, M. 1973. Job market signaling. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 87, 355-374.39
    Trusov M, Ma L, Jamal Z . 2016. Crumbs of the cookie: user profling in customer-base analysis
    and behavioral targeting. Marketing Science, 35, 405-426
    Yen, J. C., Wang, T. W., and Chen, Y. H. 2021. Different is better: how unique initial coin
    offering language in white papers enhances success. Accounting & Finance, (forthcoming).
    Yen, J. C and Wang T. W. 2021. Stock price relevance of voluntary disclosures about
    blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies. International Journal of Accounting
    Information Systems, 40, 100499

    QR CODE
    :::