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研究生: 李憲彥
Danny Lee
論文名稱: 台灣上市公司庫藏股購回宣告效應之研究
The study of listed companys'' stocks repurchases declaration effect in Taiwan
指導教授: 羅庚辛
Keng-Hsin Lo
口試委員:
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 企業管理學系
Department of Business Administration
畢業學年度: 93
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 51
中文關鍵詞: 庫藏股購回宣告效應事件研究法累積異常報酬
外文關鍵詞: stocks repurchases decalaration effect, event study, cumulative abnormal return
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  • 論文提要及內容:
    本研究用事件研究法來分析庫藏股購回宣告效應,另外以t檢定、Scheffe檢定、複迴歸分析來檢定各因子是否對庫藏股購回宣告效應有影響。
    台灣的庫藏股購回宣告效應是相當地顯著的,可以清楚的觀察到顯著的異常報酬與累積異常報酬,另外,在制度實施的第一年有明顯的新近效果,但在第二年後庫藏股購回宣告效應就已穩定。
    從觀察代理變數對累積異常報酬的影響可以了解資訊不對稱程度越高者,庫藏股購回宣告效應越明顯,除了研發費用率一項並沒有發現顯著外,資本小、無形資產比例高、AR標準差大者的庫藏股購回宣告效應較明顯,資訊不對稱假說成立。
    股價淨值比較低者的庫藏股購回宣告效應較大,驗證了價值低估假說,但前期累積異常跌幅較小者的持續效果反而較大,還有待以後研究者做進一步的探討。
    本研究中的兩個代理變數並沒有發現資金充裕程度對庫藏股購回宣告效應的影響,與其他研究的不同代理變數有相同結論,可見得台灣市場不適用超額資金假說。
    宣告目的三的庫藏股購回宣告效應大於宣告目的一,其中有趣的是宣告目的一的宣告前累積異常跌幅是大於宣告目的三的,和宣告目的本身成了對比。股價指數多空亦影響了庫藏股購回宣告效應,股價指數空頭時效應最大,要注意的是這應該是因為股價指數空頭時有較低的股價淨值比。最後,產業別並沒有對庫藏股購回宣告效應產生影響,此結果與其他研究不同。


    This study uses event study、t test、Scheffe test、multi-regression to test some factors to know how they affect the stocks repurchases decalaration effect.
    The results show that the stocks repurchases decalaration effect in Taiwan is very robust,besides in first year the CAR is much larger than other years and the effects become stable after the first year.
    After statistical tests,our conclusions are as follow:
    1.The higher the degree of information asymmetry,the effect is greater.
    2.Low Price/Net value stocks have greater effect.
    3.The hyphothesis of excess capital is not suit for Taiwan market.
    4.The effect of intension 3 is greater than intension 1.
    5.When the market index is low,it is always has greater effect.
    6.Our results do not find any evidence to surpport the hypothesis that different industries have different CAR.This conclusion is different from others.

    目錄 目錄 I 圖目錄 II 表目錄 III 第壹章 緒論 1 第一節 研究動機與背景 1 第二節 研究目的 1 第三節 研究流程與論文架構 2 第貳章 文獻探討 4 第一節 台灣庫藏股制度與外國的差異 4 第二節 庫藏股相關假說 4 第三節 庫藏股相關文獻 7 第參章 研究方法 13 第一節 研究假說 13 第二節 資料來源及樣本選取說明 15 第三節 樣本分類 16 第四節 研究變項操作性定義 17 第五節 實證研究方法 20 第肆章 實證結果分析 28 第一節 庫藏股購回宣告效應與新近效果 28 第二節 資訊不對稱程度對庫藏股購回宣告效應的影響 31 第三節 價值低估程度對庫藏股購回宣告效應的影響 34 第四節 現金流量程度對庫藏股購回宣告效應的影響 39 第五節 宣告目的對庫藏股購回宣告效應的影響 39 第六節 股價指數多空對庫藏股購回宣告效應的影響 41 第七節 產業對庫藏股購回宣告效應的影響 43 第伍章 結論與建議 45 第一節 研究結論 45 第二節 研究限制 46 第三節 對後續研究者的建議 46 第四節 對投資人的建議 47 參考文獻 48

    參考文獻
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