| 研究生: |
呂承軒 Cheng-Hsuan Lu |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
研發與生產力─兼論金融風暴之影響 R&D Investment, Firm Productivity and Financial Crisis: Evidence from Taiwan |
| 指導教授: |
鄒孟文
Meng-Wen Tsou |
| 口試委員: | |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 產業經濟研究所 Graduate Institute of Industrial Economics |
| 論文出版年: | 2021 |
| 畢業學年度: | 109 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 65 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 研發 、總要素生產力 、金融風暴 、門檻模型 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | R&D, total factor productivity, financial crisis, threshold model |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:16 下載:0 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
本研究使用臺灣經濟新報資料庫(TEJ) 2002~2018年臺灣上市櫃製造業廠商資料,應用Levinsohn and Petrin (2003) 的方法估計總要素生產力,利用普通最小平方法、固定效果模型與threshold model,探討研發對生產力的影響。此外,本文另討論2008年金融風暴下研發與生產力之關聯性是否隨著研發密集度門檻值的不同而有所差異。
OLS實證結果顯示研發支出、廠商規模、廠商年齡、外銷比率與外資持股比率、財務槓桿度對於生產力有正面顯著影響,在金融風暴下從事研發活動能減緩總體經濟帶來的負面衝擊。在控制廠商間隨時間固定無法觀察到的特質後,與OLS估計結果相符,但此時財務槓桿度轉為負向顯著。
Threshold model的估計結果發現研發與績效之間的關係是存在門檻值的,且不論高科技產業、高科技與中高科技產業、低科技與中低科技產業,隨著研發密集度的上升,研發對績效的提升都有遞減的趨勢。金融危機發生後,高科技產業研發密集度門檻值與研發對生產力的影響有降低的現象,顯示研發活動受到金融風暴影響,需耗費更多資源才能達到原有生產力;低科技與中低科技產業的研發活動對生產力之效益則不具顯著性,表示此時該產業類別不適合研發,應以其他策略提升生產力。
The paper collected 2002~2018 manufactural listed company in Taiwan from Taiwan Economic Journal (TEJ) and we applied OLS and fixed effects model to explore the relationships between Total Factor Productivity(TFP) that Levinsohn and Petrin (2003) estimated and research and development (R&D) in 2008 financial crisis. Also, the threshold value existed or not and how it changes is what we concerned. Hence, threshold model was included in the thesis.
OLS estimation indicated that R&D investment, firm size, the ages of firm, export ratio, average annual income of employee and leverage have significant positive effect on TFP. In addition, the interaction term of financial crisis dummy variable and R&D investment was positive, it showed that R&D decreased the negative impact in 2008 financial crisis. After control the unobservable characteristics which do not change over time. The estimation was similar to OLS, but leverage excepted. It negatively impacted productivity.
Threshold model revealed that threshold effect does exist. No matter which industries that OECD classified according to R&D intensity, the more R&D intensity that firms conducted, the less benefit that R&D investment brought to TFP. Furthermore, when 2008 financial crisis was occurred. The coefficients of R&D investment and threshold value were less than before in high and medium-high technologies industries. It represented that R&D investment was affected by crisis, the enterprises need to spend more making TFP as well as before. To medium-low and low technologies industries, R&D was no longer significantly affected TFP. They should apply others strategies to improve their performance.
江楚翔,「景氣變動對研究發展、專利及權利金與企業績效之關係」,國立屏東科技大學,碩士論文,2014。
李宛純,「 研發支出、權利金與專利在景氣衰退與景氣復甦時期對企業績效之關係」,國立屏東科技大學,碩士論文,2012。
林珈伶,「台灣廠商之創新、對外投資和勞動雇用策略及對生產力影響」, 國立清華大學,博士論文,2017。
曹竣勝,「廠商於不景氣時之營業利益、研發支出、自由現金對景氣高峰期盈餘績效影響之研究」,國立中央大學,碩士論文,2010。
許永謀,「景氣循環對公司研發支出、資本支出與未來績效之影響」,東海大學,碩士論文,2018。
傅浚映,「創新與生產力:中國電子產業的實證」,國立臺灣大學,碩士論文,2011。
曾美萍,「環境管制與對外投資-台灣製造業的實證」,正修學報(23), 155-175頁,2010。
黃珈卉與楊志海,「台灣製造業廠商創新持續性」,經濟論文叢刊,38(2), 199-231頁,2010。
黃家緯,「總要素生產力、勞動生產力、以及相關隨機效果:台灣跨國企業的廠商異質性與區位選擇行為」,國立中正大學,碩士論文,2014。
黃麗芬,「景氣循環、研究發展對財務績效影響之研究─以我國上市上櫃資訊電子業為例」,中原大學,碩士論文,2003。
楊志海與陳忠榮,「研究發展,專利與生產力-台灣製造業的實證研究」,經濟論文叢刊,30(1), 27-48頁,2002。
楊志海與鄒孟文,「技術體制,研發聚集與研發-廠商規模有關嗎?」,經濟論文, 44(1), 35-62頁,2016。
歐陽利姝與朱世琳,「研發、研發外溢與員工學歷結構差異對台灣資訊電子業研發廠商生產力之貢獻」,經濟論文叢刊,36(4), 515-550頁,2008。
戴煜,「探討高流動性資產、景氣循環、市場環境與企業研發支出之關聯性」,國立臺灣大學,碩士論文,2015。
謝依珊,「景氣循環、融資決策與研究發展投資: 台灣公司個體資料之實證研究」,國立清華大學,博士論文,2017。
Acs, Zoltan, & Audretsch, David, “ Innovation, Market Structure, and Firm Size”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 69(4), 567-574, 1987
Aghion, P., Askenazy, P., Berman, N., Cette, G., & Eymard, L., “Credit Constraints and the Cyclicality of R&D Investment: Evidence from France”, Journal of the European Economic Association, 10(5), 1001-1024, 2012
Aghion, P., & Saint-Paul, G. , “Virtues of Bad times: interaction between productivity growth and economic fluctuations”, Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2, 322–344, 1998
Altomonte, C., Gamba, S., Mancusi, M. L., & Vezzulli, A., “R&D investments, financing constraints, exporting and productivity”, Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 25(3), 283-303, 2016
Añón-Higón, D., Manjón-Antolin, M., Mañez, J. A., & Sanchis-Llopis, J. A., “Does R&D protect SMEs from the hardness of the cycle? Evidence from Spanish SMEs (1990-2009)”, International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, 11(2), 361-376, 2015
Bae, S. C., & Kim, D., “The Effect of R&D Investments on Market Value of Firms: Evidence from the U.S. ”, Germany, and Japan. Multinational Business Review, 11(3), 51-76, 2003
Beneito, P., Rochina-Barrachina, M. E., & Sanchis, A., “Foreign capital, credit constraints and continuity of firms’ R&D”, Applied Economics Letters, 23(3), 157-161, 2016
Brown, James R., Martinsson, Gustav, & Petersen, Bruce C., “ Law, Stock Markets, and Innovation”, The Journal of Finance, 68(4), 1517-1549, 2013
Castellani, Davide, & Zanfei, Antonello., “Internationalisation, Innovation and Productivity: How Do Firms Differ in Italy? ”, The World Economy, 30(1), 156-176, 2007
Chauvin, K., & Hirschey, M., “Advertising, R&D Expenditures and the Market Value of the Firm”, Financial Management, 22(4), 128-140, 1993
Chen, Y., & Ibhagui, O. W., “R&D-firm performance nexus: New evidence from NASDAQ listed firms”, The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 50, 101009, 2019
Connolly, Robert A., & Hirschey, Mark., “Firm size and the effect of R&D on Tobin's q”, R&D Management, 35(2), 217-223, 2005
Crépon, B., Duguet, E., & Mairesse, J., “Research, Innovation And Productivity: An Econometric Analysis At The Firm Level”, Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 7(2), 115-158, 1998
Doloreux, D., R. Shearmur, and M. Rodriguez., “Determinants of R&D in Knowledge-Intensive Business Services Firms”, Economics of Innovation and New Technology 25 (4): 391–405, 2016
Foster, Lucia and Grim, Cheryl, “ Characteristics of the Top R&D Performing Firms in the U.S.: Evidence from the Survey of Industrial R&D”,US Census Bureau Center for Economic Studies Paper No. CES-WP-10-33, September 2010
Foster, L., Grim, C., & Zolas, N., “A portrait of U.S. firms that invest in R&D”, Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 29(1), 89-111, 2020
Hansen, Bruce., “Testing for Linearity”, Journal of Economic Surveys, 13(5), 551-576, 1999
Hartmann, George C., Myers, Mark B., & Rosenbloom, Richard S., “Planning Your Firm's R&D Investment”, Research-Technology Management, 49(2), 25-36, 2006
Keller, W., & Yeaple, S. R., “Multinational Enterprises, International Trade, And Productivity Growth: Firm Level Evidence From The United States”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 91(4), 821-831, 2009
Kendrick, John W., “Postwar Productivity Trends in the United States, 1948–1969”, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, 1973
Klette, Tor Jacob, and Samuel S. Kortum., “Innovating Firms and Aggregate Innovation”, Journal of Political Economy 112: 986–1018, 2014
Levinsohn, J., & Petrin, A., “Estimating Production Functions Using Inputs to Control for Unobservables”, The Review of Economic Studies, 70(2), 317-341, 2003
Mancusi, Maria Luisa and Vezzulli, Andrea, “R&D and Credit Rationing in SMEs ”, Economic Inquiry, Vol. 52, Issue 3, pp. 1153-1172, July 2014
Minasian, Jora R., “Research and Development, Production Functions, and Rates of Return”, American Economic Review, 59(2), 80-85, 1969
Olley, G. S., & Pakes, A., “The Dynamics of Productivity in the Telecommunications Equipment Industry”, Econometrica, 64(6), 1263-1297, 1996
Paunov, Caroline., “The global crisis and firms’ investments in innovation”, Research Policy, 41(1), 24-35, 2012
Pieri, Fabio & Vecchi, Michela & Venturini, Francesco, “Modelling the joint impact of R&D and ICT on productivity: A frontier analysis approach”,Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(9), pages 1842-1852, 2018
Solomon, E. M., “Types of R&D investment and firm productivity: UK evidence on heterogeneity and complementarity in rates of return”, Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 1-28, 2020
Steenkamp, J.-B., & Fang, E., “The Impact of Economic Contractions on the Effectiveness of R&D and Advertising: Evidence from U.S. Companies Spanning Three Decades”, Marketing Science, 30, 628-645, 2011
Teplykh, G. V., “Innovations and productivity: the shift during the 2008 crisis”, Industry and Innovation, 25(1), 53-83, 2018
Terleckyj, N. E., “Effects of R&D on the Productivity Growth of Industries: An Exploratory Study”, No. 140. Washington, DC: National Planning Association, 1974
Tsai, K. H., and J. C. Wang., “Does R&D Performance Decline with Firm Size? A Re-Examination in Terms of Elasticity ”, Research Policy 34 (6): 966–976, 2005
Xu, Bixia, Magnan, Michel L., & André, Paul E., “The Stock Market Valuation of R&D Information in Biotech Firms”, Contemporary Accounting Research, 24(4), 1291-1318, 2007