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研究生: 何美慧
Mei-Hui Ho
論文名稱: 生命週期基金與全球平衡型基金投資組合探討與績效研究
指導教授: 吳庭斌
Ting-Pin Wu
口試委員:
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 財務金融學系在職專班
Executive Master of Finance
論文出版年: 2016
畢業學年度: 104
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 68
中文關鍵詞: 生命週期基金平衡型基金資產配置夏普指數
外文關鍵詞: Life-cycle funds, Balanced funds, Asset allocation, Sharp Ratio
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  • 隨著高齡化社會來臨時,退休金規劃是許多人重視的議題,但民眾在缺乏足夠的投資經驗及對理財工具的不熟悉下,往往不知如何做選擇,因而錯過了投資的黃金期。
    本研究之主要目的在於了解生命週期基金與平衡型基金何為較佳的退休理財策略,以國內核備之全球平衡型基金與生命週期基金分析比較,並藉由模擬方式比較目標日期基金與平衡型基金,因著投資組合配置不同對風險與報酬的差異。

    研究選取MSCI世界指數、Barclays Capital全球綜合債券指數年報酬率進行模擬分析,推估過去三十五年的投資組合報酬率。基金設計方式,首先依照投資者風險偏好區分為積極型、穩健型、保守型,再依目標日期基金滑行路徑進行調整,在此將設定為固定斜率配置方式,而平衡型基金則是維持股債固定比例的方式配置。

    以夏普指標與標準差來衡量目標日期基金與平衡型基金的績效,結果發現,多數期間以目標
    日期基金之配置的方式績效較佳,且愈屆臨退休年齡可降低投資組合的風險,此一特性也正符合眾多退休投資者資產需達較安穩的目的。


    With the arrival of an aging society, retirement pension planning becomes an important topic for many people. However, often times, people do not know how to make their choices due to their lack of sufficient investment experience and unfamiliarity with the financial instruments. As a result, they miss the golden opportunity for investment.
    The main purpose of this study is to understand why the life-cycle fund and balanced fund are the preferred retirement fiscal strategies, by comparing the analyses between the global balanced fund and the life-cycle fund that have been domestically pre-approved and archived for future reference. In addition, a comparison was done between the target-date fund and the balanced fund, using a simulation method, to determine the differences between the two in terms of risk and reward, due to different portfolio allocations.
    This study chose the annual rates of return for the MSCI World Index and the Barclays Capital Global Aggregate Bond Index to conduct a simulation analysis in order to speculate the portfolio rate of return over the past thirty-five years. The approach for the fund design was to first divide it into aggressive, stable and conservative portfolio types based on the investors’ risk appetite. They were then adjusted based on the target-date fund glide path, which in this case was set to a fixed-slope allocation method; while the balanced fund was to maintain a stocks and bonds fixed-ratio method of allocation.
    The Sharpe Ratio and the starndard deviation were used to measure the performances of the target-date fund and the balanced fund. The results revealed that, the target-date fund allocation method performed better most of the time, and the risk of the portfolio can be lowered as the retirement age approaches. This particular feature also meets the objective of needing the asset to be more stable for numerous retirement investors.

    第一章緒論1 1-1研究背景與動機1 1-2研究目的3 1-3研究架構5 第二章相關文獻探討6 2-1我國與美國退休金制度簡介6 2-2生命週期基金簡介與市場現況9 2-3目標日期基金文獻探討16 2-4平衡型基金及資產配置概念22 2-5退休基金資產配置文獻回顧22 第三章資料研究與方法28 3-1資料說明28 3-2樣本選取標準與資料來源28 3-3研究方法及流程設31 3-4衡量投資績效方法計32 第四章實證結果與分析34 4-1基本統計量34 4-2績效評估 37 4-3歷史回測結果與分析38 第五章結論與建議49 5-1研究結論49 5-2研究建議49 參考文獻50

    一、中文文獻

    1. 黃介良 (1998),「台灣退休基金資產配置之研究」,證券市場發展,第 10卷,第 3 期, 頁 135-169
    2. 邱顯比 (2000),台灣退休基金國際資產配置程序之研究,行政院國家科學委員會輔助專題研究計畫成果報告。
    3. 繆震宇 (2001),「台灣退休基金最適提撥與資產配置之研究」,證券市場發展,第 13 卷,第 3 期,頁 101-130。
    4. 繆震宇、邱顯比 (2002),「固定提撥費率下退休基金動態資產配置之探討」,台灣管理學刊,第 2 卷,第 2 期,頁 77-97。
    5. 陳博泰(2008),為台灣投資者設計的生命週期基金,國立中山大學財務管理研究所碩士論文。
    6. 潘君綺(2012),目標期限基金投資組合策略之探討,實踐大學財務金融研究所碩士論文。
    7. 高佩君(2008),生命週期基金:行為財務觀點,國立中央大學財務金學系碩士在職專班碩士學位論文。
    8. 林詩茵(2005),退休給付:運用年齡為基礎之資產配置法,國立中興大學財務金融研究所碩士論文。
    9. 邱顯比(1997),「台灣退休基金資產分配之試評」,證券市場發展季刊,第九卷,第二期,頁29-57。
    10. 王思妍(2008),以生命循環週期為基礎之跨國資產配置比較,國立中興大學財務金融學系碩士論文。
    11. 陳博泰(2008),為台灣投資者設計的生命週期基金,國立中山大學財務金融研究所碩士論文。
    12. 林鴻諭 (2009),退休需求與理財規劃實務之探討,國立政治大學風險管理與保險學系碩士學位論文。
    13. 毛治文、沈中華 (2009),「退休基金投資策略與股票市場發展」,財務金融學刊,第 17 卷,第 3 期,頁 61-96。
    14. 鄭義、湯雲鶴、邵華嶔(2010),「目標期限基金之建構」,貨幣觀測與信用評等,第83期,頁36-50。
    15. 劉妙惠(2010),以目標日期基金作為退休理財策略之評估,國立台灣大學管理學院財務金融學系碩士論文。
    16. 王儷玲(2010),「退休規劃與人生週期投資策略」,退休基金年刊,頁41-51。
    17. 姜子凡、雷立芬(2011),「資產配置效率前緣與景氣循環」,台灣經濟金融月刊,第47卷,第二期,頁51-56。
    18. 楊紫瀅(2013),目標期限基金與平衡型基金投資組合策略比較分析,實踐大學財務金融學系碩士班碩士學位論文。
    19. 潘昱璇(2014),考慮景氣循環與貨幣循環之目標期限基金資產配置,實踐大學財務金融學系碩士班碩士論文。
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    二、英文文獻

    1. Ameriks , J., D. J. Hamilton, and L. Ren (2011),“Investor Comprehension and Usage of Target-Date Funds: 2010 Survey”, Vanguard Investment Counseling and Research
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    4. Brinson, G. P., B. D. Singer, and G. L. Beebowe, 1991, ―Determinants of Portfolio Performance II: An Update‖, Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 47, No. 3,p. 40-47.
    5. Bodie, Zvi, and Treussard Jonathan (2007),“Making Investment Choices as
    Simple as Possible :An Analysis of Target Date Retirement Funds .” Boston
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    7. Blanchett, D. M., and G. W. Kasten, 2010, ―Improving the "Target" in Target-Date Investing‖, Journal of Pension Benefits, Vol. 18, No. 1, pp. 17-27
    8. Bikker, J. A., D. W. G. A. Broeders, D. A. Hollanders, and E. H. M. Ponds (2012),“ Pension fund’ asset allocation and participant age: a test of the life-cycle model”, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. 79, No. 3, pp. 595-618.
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    16. Pfau, W. D. (2010),“Lifecycle funds and wealth accumulation for retirement: evidence for a more conservative asset allocation as retirement approaches”, Financial Services Review, Vol. 19, No. 1, pp. 59-74.
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    18. Pfau, W. D. (2009),“The role of international diversification in public pension ystems: the case of Pakistan”, Economic Issues, Vol. 14, No. 2, pp. 81-105.
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    23. Surz, R. J., C. L. Israelsen, and T. D. Analytics (2008),“Evaluating target date lifecycle funds”, Journal of Performance Measurement, Vol. 12, No. 2, pp.62-70.
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