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研究生: 藍青玉
Ching-Yu Lan
論文名稱: 台股散戶交易行為與績效之研究
The trading behavior and performance of individual investors in Taiwan
指導教授: 周賓凰
口試委員:
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 財務金融學系在職專班
Executive Master of Finance
論文出版年: 2021
畢業學年度: 109
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 52
中文關鍵詞: 散戶交易行為當沖交易處分效果過度自信
外文關鍵詞: retail trading behavior, day trading, disposition effect, overconfidence
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  • 台灣證券交易市場向來是以散戶投資人為主體的金融市場,加上金管會2014 年開放現股可以當日沖銷,並且當日沖銷還可以享有交易稅減半的優惠,激起散戶投資人積極參與台股買賣交易。然而去年2019 年尾爆發COVID-19 新冠狀病毒大流行,在確診及死亡人數攀升影響下,台灣加權指數在2020 年3 月19 驟降至新低8,523 點,同年3 月證券新開戶數卻創下當年度新高158,349 戶。本文研究將期間設定在2020 年,探討台灣股市交易人是否存處分效果及過度自信,並以人口變數(性別、年齡)及交易行為變數(年度總交易次數、有無從事當沖交易)進行績效的統計分析。實證結果發現,台股散戶交易人確實存在有處分效果及過度自信現象,投資人明顯傾向於賺小錢而賠大錢,而過度自信頻繁的交易,對獲利並無助益。


    Taiwan's securities market has always been dominated by retail investors. In addition, the Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) authorized day trading in 2014, and offered a 50% reduction in transaction tax, which has stimulated retail investors to actively participate in Taiwan stock trading. However, as the COVID-19 pandemic broke out at the end of 2019, the Taiwan weighted index dropped to a new low of 8,523 on March 19, 2020, yet the number of new securities account openings hit a new high of 158,349 in March of the same year. In this thesis, based on a sample for the year 2000, I investigate whether traders suffer from disposition effect and overconfidence, and conduct statistical analysis on the performance of demographic variables (gender and age) and trading behavior variables (total number of trades per year and whether they engage in day trading). The results reveal that retail traders indeed suffer from the disposition effect and overconfidence; investors obviously tend to make small profits but lose big ones, and frequent trading is not beneficial to profits.

    中文摘要  …………………………………………………………………………     ⅰ 英文摘要  …………………………………………………………………………     ⅱ 誌謝    …………………………………………………………………………     ⅲ 目錄    …………………………………………………………………………     ⅳ 圖目錄   …………………………………………………………………………     ⅴ 表目錄   …………………………………………………………………………     ⅴⅰ 第一章   緒論……………………………………………………………………     1 第二章   文獻回顧………………………………………………………………     2 第三章   研究方法 3-1 樣本介紹與資料說……………………………………………………     5 3-2 變數定義………………………………………………………………     6 第四章   實證結果分析 4-1 已實現平均報酬率之統計分析………………………………………     7 4-2 已實現總損益之統計分析……………………………………………     8 4-3 已實現平均報酬率及平均總損益迴歸分析…………………………     9 4-4 處分效果分析…………………………………………………………     9 4-5 過度自信分析…………………………………………………………     10 第五章   結論及建議……………………………………………………………     12 參考文獻  …………………………………………………………………………     16

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