| 研究生: |
陳詩芸 Shih-Yun Chen |
|---|---|
| 論文名稱: |
盈餘變動、信用利差與債券流動性 Earning volatility, credit spread and bond liquidity |
| 指導教授: |
黃泓人
Hong-Ren Huang |
| 口試委員: | |
| 學位類別: |
碩士 Master |
| 系所名稱: |
管理學院 - 財務金融學系 Department of Finance |
| 論文出版年: | 2015 |
| 畢業學年度: | 103 |
| 語文別: | 中文 |
| 論文頁數: | 69 |
| 中文關鍵詞: | 盈餘變動 、信用利差 、債券流動性 |
| 外文關鍵詞: | Earning Volatility, Credit spread, Bond liquidity |
| 相關次數: | 點閱:14 下載:0 |
| 分享至: |
| 查詢本校圖書館目錄 查詢臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統 勘誤回報 |
本研究採用2003年4月至2011年12月共3860筆美國公司債月資料,進行盈餘變動、信用利差與債券流動性相關性之研究。從以往的文獻結果發現,盈餘變動與私人訊息相關,擁有私人資訊的管理者會調整盈餘被報導出來的結果,而使得盈餘波動度有所改變,又當盈餘相較於現金流量的變異程度越為平緩或更為劇烈時,會混淆資訊而使得資訊不對稱情形增加。又相關研究指出,當資訊不對稱程度越高時會使得公司價值的評估分布越大,反應在債券的利差程度亦越大。而信用利差又與債券流動性為一個反向關係,因此本研究即針對盈餘變動對信用利差與債券流動性的影響做一個直接的探討。
本研究主要採用最小平方法與兩階段最小平方進行回歸分析,而主要的研究結果顯示,當盈餘相較於現金流量的變異程度越為平緩時,其公司債年齡越大,即代表公司債流動性較差。又當盈餘相較於現金流量的變異程度越為劇烈時,信用利差較大,且公司債券年齡較大、公司債發行規模較小、全距較大、四分位數間距較大以及公司債交易量較小,皆表示其公司債流動性較差,這部分的結果與過去文獻的理論相符,亦表示盈餘變動、信用利差與債券流動性之間確實有一直接的關聯性。
This paper is about the relationship between earning volatility, credit spread and bond liquidity. The sample is adopted by American corporate bond with monthly data from 2003 to 2011. According to the previous research, if earnings are smoother or more volatile than cash flow, the information asymmetry is higher. What’s more, the information asymmetry is positively related to credit spread. Finally, there is a negative relationship between credit spread and bond liquidity. Therefore, we focus on the relationship between earning volatility, credit spread and bond liquidity directly. We adopt OLS and 2SLS regressions. The main result is that the credit spread is higher and less liquidity when earning is more volatile than cash flow.
〔1〕Bao, Jack, Jun Pan, and Jiang Wang. "The Illiquidity of Corporate Bonds." Journal of Finance, Vol.66, pp.911-946, (June 2011).
〔2〕Basu, Sudipta. "The conservatism principle and the asymmetric timeliness of earnings." Journal of Accounting and Economics, Vol.24, pp.3-37, (June 1997).
〔3〕Burgstahler, David and Ilia Dichev. "Earnings management to avoid earnings decreases and losses." Journal of Accounting and Economics, Vol.24, pp.99-126, (December 1997).
〔4〕Campbell, John Y., and Glen B.Taksler. "Equity Volatility and Corporate Bond Yields." Journal of Finance, Vol.58, pp.2321-2349, (December 2003).
〔5〕Chen, Long, David A. Lesmond, and Jason Wei. "Corporate Yield Spreads and Bond Liquidity." Journal of Finance, Vol.62, pp.119-149, (February 2007).
〔6〕Crabbe, Leland E., and Christopher M. Turner. "Does the Liquidity of a Debt Issue Increase with Its Size? Evidence from the Corporate Bond and Medium-Term Note Markets." Journal of Finance, Vol.50, pp.1719-1734, (December 1995).
〔7〕Dick-Nielsen, Jens, Peter Feldhutter, and David Lando. "Corporate bond liquidity before and after the onset of the subprime crisis." Journal of Finance Economics, Vol.103, pp.471-492, (March 2012).
〔8〕Duffee, Gregory R., "The Relation Between Treasury Yields and Corporate Bond Yield Spreads." Journal of Finance, Vol. 53, pp.2225-2241, (December 1998).
〔9〕Easley, David, Nicholas M. Kiefer, and Maureen O'Hara and Joseph B. Paperman. "Association Liquidity, Information, and Infrequently Traded Stocks." Journal of Finance, Vol.51, pp.1405-1436, (September 1996).
〔10〕Elton, Edwin J., Martin J. Gruber, Deepak Agrawal, and Christopher Mann. "Explaining the Rate Spread on Corporate Bonds." Journal of Finance,Vol.56, pp.247-277, (February 2001).
〔11〕Helwege, Jean, Jing-Zhi Huang, and Yuan Wang. "Liquidity effects in corporate bond spreads." Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol.45, pp.105-116, (August 2014).
〔12〕 Hotchkiss, Edith S., and Gergana Jostova. "Determinants of Corporate Bond Trading: A Comprehensive Analysis." Working Paper, (July 2007).
〔13〕Jayaraman, Sudarshan. "Earnings Volatility, Cash Flow Volatility, and Informed Trading." Journal of Accounting Research, Vol.46, pp.809-851, (September 2008).
〔14〕Kirschenheiter, Michael and Nahum D. Melumad. "Can "Big Bath" and Earnings Smoothing Co-exist as Equilibrium Financial Reporting Strategies?" Journal of Accounting Research, Vol.40, pp.761-796, (June 2002).
〔15〕Longstaff, Francis A., Sanjay Mithal, and Eric Neis."Corporate Yield Spreads: Default Risk or Liquidity? New Evidence from the Credit Default Swap Market." Journal of Finance, Vol.60, pp. 2213-2253, (October 2005).
〔16〕Lu, Chia-Wu, Tsung-Kang Chen, and Hsien-Hsing Liao. "Information uncertainty, information asymmetry and corporate bond yield spreads." Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol.34, pp.2265-2279, (February 2010).
〔17〕Mansi, Sattar A., William F. Maxwell, and Darius P. Miller. "Does Auditor Quality and Tenure Matter to Investors? Evidence from the Bond Market." Journal of Accounting Research, Vol.42, pp.755-793, (September 2004).
〔18〕Nejadmalayeri, Ali, Ike Mathur, and Manohar Singh. "Product market advertising and corporate bonds." Journal of Corporate Finance, Vol.19, pp.78-94, (February 2013).
〔19〕Shroff, Pervin K., Ramgopal Venkataraman, and Suning Zhang. "The Conservatism Principle and the Asymmetric Timeliness of Earnings: An Event-Based Approach." Contemporary Accounting Research, Vol.30, pp.823-37, (March 2013).
〔20〕Velury, Uma and Gregory Kane. "Big Bath, Income Smoothing, and Special Items: An Empirical Investigation." Public and Municipal Finance,Vol.1,pp.80-86, (January 2012).